publications

• Schimel, D.S., G.P. Asner, and P.R. Moorcroft (2013). Observing changing ecological diversity in the Anthropocene. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. doi:10.1890/120111
• Paul R. Moorcroft (2012). Mechanistic approaches to understanding and predicting mammalian space use: recent advances, future directions. Journal of Mammalogy: September 2012, Vol. 93, No. 4, pp. 903-916
• Dong, S.X., S.J. Davies, P.S. Ashton, S. Bunyavejchewin, M. N. Nur-Supardi, A.R. Kassim, S. Tan and P. R. Moorcroft (2012).  Variability in solar radiation and temperature explains observed patterns and trends in tree growth rates across four tropical forests. Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B: doi: 10.1098/rspb.2012.1124
• Kim, Y., R.G. Knox, M. Longo, D. Medvigy, L.R. Hutyra, E.H. Pyle, S.C. Wofsy, R.L. Bras, and P.R. Moocroft (2012). Seasonal carbon dynamics and water fluxes in an Amazon rainforest. Global Change Biology, (18) 4: 1322-1334.
• Medvigy, D. and P.R. Moorcroft (2012). Predicting ecosystem dynamics at regional scales: an evaluation of a terrestrial biosphere model for the forests of northeastern North America. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B (2012) 367, 222–235 (Supplementary Data)
• Michael C. Dietze and Paul R. Moorcroft. Tree mortality in the eastern and central U.S.:Patterns and Drivers. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02477.x.
• Antonarakis, A.S., S.S. Saatchi, R.L. Chazdon, P.R. Moorcroft (2010). Using Lidar and Radar measurements to constrain predictions of forest ecosystem structure and function. Ecolological Applications June, Vol.21, No.4: 1120-1137.
• Hatala, J.A., M.C. Dietze, R.L. Crabtree, D. Six, K. Kendall and P.R. Moorcroft (2011). An ecosystem-scale model for the spread of a host-specific fungal pathogen. Ecological Applications, 21(4): 1138-1153.
• Ise, T and Moorcroft, PR (2010). Simulating boreal forest dynamics from perspectives of ecophysiology, resource availability, and climate change. Ecol Res (2010) 25:501-511. DOI: 10.1007/s11284-009-0680-8.
• Medvigy, D., S. C. Wofsy, J. W. Munger, and P. R. Moorcroft (2010).
  Responses of terrestrial ecosystems and carbon budgets to current and future environmental variability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences- Ecology 107 (18):8275-8280.
• Kie, J.G., J. Matthiopoulos, J. Fieberg, R.A. Powell, F. Cagnacci, M.S. Mitchell, J. Gaillard, and P. Moorcroft (2010) The home-range concept: are traditional estimators still relevant with modern telemetry technology?
  Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society (B) 365:2221-2231
• Smouse, P.E., S. Focardi, P. Moorcroft, J.G. Kie, J.D. Forester, and J.M. Morales (2010) Stochastic modelling of animal movement Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society (B) 365:2201-2211
• Hurtt, G.C., J. Fisk, R.Q. Thomas, R.O. Dubayah, P.R. Moorcroft, and H.H. Shugart (2010) Linking Models and Data on Vegetation Structure
  Journal of Geophysical Research- Biogeosciences 115:G00E10.
• Hatala, Jaclyn; Crabtree, Robert; Halligan, Kerry; Moorcroft, Paul (2010)
  Landscape-scale patterns of forest pest and pathogen damage in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Remote Sensing of Environment 114:375-384.
• Albani, Marco; Moorcroft, Paul; Ellison, Aaron; Orwig, David; Foster, David (2010) Predicting the impact of hemlock woolly adelgid on carbon dynamics of Eastern U.S. Forests Canadian Journal of Forest Research 40:119-133.
• Yang, Wenze; Ni-Meister, Wenge; Kiang, Nancy; Moorcroft, Paul; Strahler, Alan; Oliphant, Andrew (2010) A clumped-foliage canopy radiative transfer model for a global dynamic terrestrial ecosystem model II: comparison to measurements Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 150:895-907.
• Medvigy, D, Wofsy, SC, Munger, JW, Hollinger, DY, and Moorcroft, PR (2009). Mechanistic scaling of ecosystem function and dynamics in space and time: the Ecosystem Demography model version 2 Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences 114(G1).
• Moorcroft, PR (2009) Biodiversity Patterns in managed and natural landscapes In: The Princeton Guide to Ecology, edited by Sven Erik Jørgensen. Princeton University Press, chapter iv.4, pages 445-457.
  
• Barnett, A and Moorcroft, PR (2008). Analytic steady-state space use patterns & rapid computations in mechanistic home range analysis
  Journal of Mathematical Biology 57(1):139-159.
• Huntingford, C, Fisher, RA, Mercado, L, Booth, BBB, Sitch, S, Harris, PP, Cox, PM, Jones, CD, Betts, RA, Yadvinder, M, Harris, GR, Mat, C, and Moorcroft, P (2008). Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon "dieback" Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society (B) 363 (1498):1857-1864.

• Ise, T, Dunn, A, Wofsy, S, and Moorcroft, P (2008).
  High sensitivity of peat decomposition to climate change through water-table feedback Nature Geoscience 1:763-766.
• Lynch, HJ and Moorcroft, PR (2008).
  A spatiotemporal Ripley's K-function to analyze interactions between spruce budworm and fire in British Columbia, Canada
  Canadian Journal of Forest Research 38(12):3112-3119.
• Moorcroft, PR (2008). Animal Home Ranges In: Encyclopedia of Ecology, edited by Sven Erik Jørgensen. Elsevier, New York, chapter v.1, pages 174-180.
• Moorcroft, PR and Barnett, A (2008). Mechanistic home range models and resource selection analysis: a reconciliation and unification
  Ecology 89(4):1112-1119.
• Desai, A, Moorcroft, PR, Bolstad, PV, and Davis, KJ (2007).
  Regional carbon fluxes from an observationally constrained dynamic ecosystem model: Impacts of disturbance, CO2 fertilization, and heterogeneous land cover
  J. Geophys. Res. 112(G01017).
• Albani, M, Medvigy, D, Hurtt, GC, and Moorcroft, PR (2006).
  The contributions of land-use change, CO2 fertilization, and climate variability to the Eastern US carbon sink
  Global Change Biology 12(12):2370--2390.
• Ise, T and Moorcroft, PR (2006). The global-scale temperature and moisture dependencies of soil organic carbon decomposition: an analysis using a mechanistic decomposition model Biogeochemistry 80:217--231.
• Lynch, HJ (2006). Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Insect-Fire Interactions
  Phd thesis, Harvard University.
• Lynch, HJ, Renkin, RA, Crabtree, RL, and Moorcroft, PR (2006).
  The Influence of Previous Mountain Pine Beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae) Activity on the 1988 Yellowstone Fires
  Ecosystems 9(8):1318-1327.
• Lynch, HJ, RA Renkin, RL Crabtree, and PR Moorcroft (2006).
  Insect-fire interactions in Yellowstone National Park: The influence of historical mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae) activity on the spatial pattern of the 1988 Yellowstone fires In: Greater Yellowstone Public Lands: A Century of Discovery, Hard Lessons, and Bright Prospects, edited by M. Turner. Yellowstone Center for Resources.
• Medvigy, DM (2006). The state of the regional carbon cycle: results from a coupled constrained ecosystem-atmosphere model. Phd thesis, Harvard University.
• Moorcroft, PR (2006). How close are we to a predictive science of the biosphere? Trends in Ecology and Evolution 21(7):400--407.
• Moorcroft, PR and Lewis, MA (2006). Mechanistic Home Range Analysis
  Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ(ISBN: 0-691-00928-7).
• Moorcroft, PR, Lewis, MA, and Crabtree, RL (2006).
  Mechanistic Home Range Models Capture Spatial Patterns and Dynamics of Coyote Territories in Yellowstone
  Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B 273(1594):1651--1659.
• Moorcroft, PR, Lewis, MA, and Pacala, SW (2006).
  Potential role of natural enemies during tree range expansions following climate change Journal of Theoretical Biology 241(3):601--616.
• Medvigy, D, Moorcroft, PR, Avissar, R, and Walko, RL (2005).
  Mass conservation and atmospheric dynamics in the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS)
  Environmental Fluid Mechanics 5(1):109-134.
• Hurtt, GC, Dubayah, R, Drake, J, Moorcroft, PR, and Fearon, M (2004).
  Beyond potential vegetation: Combining Lidar remote sensing and a height-structured ecosystem model for improved carbon stock and flux estimates
  Ecological Applications 14(3):873-883.
• Purves, DW, Caspersen, JP, Moorcroft, PR, Hurtt, GC, and Pacala, SW (2004). Human-induced changes in U.S. biogenic VOC emissions
  Global Change Biology 10(10):1737-1755.
• Moorcroft, PR (2003). Recent advances in ecosystem-atmosphere interactions: an ecological perspective Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B 270((1521)):1215-1227.
• Hurtt, GC, Pacala, SW, Moorcroft, PR, Caspersen, JP, Shevliakova, E, and Moore, B (2002). Projecting the future of the US Carbon sink
  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 99(3):1389-1394.
• Lewis, M and Moorcroft, P (2001). ESS Analysis of Mechanistic Models for Territoriality: the Value of Scent Marks in Spatial Resource Partitioning
  Journal of Theoretical Biology 210(4):449-461 .
• Moorcroft, PR, Hurtt, GC, and Pacala, SW (2001). A method for scaling vegetation dynamics: the ecosystem demography model (ED)
  Ecological Monographs 71(4):557-586.
• Pacala, SW, Hurtt, GC, Baker, D, Peylin, P, Houghton, RA, Birdsey, RA, Heath, L, Sundquist, ET, Stallard, RF, Ciais, P, Moorcroft, P, Caspersen, JP, Shevliakova, E, Moore, B, Kohlmaier, G, Holland, E, Gloor, M, Harmon, ME, Fan, SM, Sarmiento, JL, Goodale, CL, Schimel, D, and Field, CB (2001).
  Consistent Land- and Atmosphere-Based U.S. Carbon Sink Estimates
  Science 292(5525):2316-2320.
• Pacala, SW, Hurtt, GC, Moorcroft, PR, and Casperson, JP (2001).
  Carbon storage in the US caused by land-use change
  In: Present & Future Modeling of Global Environmental Change, edited by T. Matsuno and H. Kida. Terrapub, Tokyo, pages 145-172.
• Caspersen, J, Pacala, SW, Jenkins, J, Hurtt, GC, Moorcroft, PR, and Birdsey, R (2000). Contributions of land-use history and enhanced tree growth to carbon accumulation in forests
  Science 290(5494):1148-51.
• Moorcroft, PR, Lewis, MA, and Crabtree, RL (1999).
  Home Range Analysis Using a Mechanistic Home Range Model
  Ecology 80(5):1656-1665.
• Hurtt, GC, Moorcroft, PR, Pacala, SW, and Levin, SA (1998).
  Terrestrial models and global change: challenges for the future
  Global Change Biology 4(5):581-590.
• Crabtree, RL and Moorcroft, PR (1996). Wolf density in relation to landscape and prey In: Proceedings of the Biennial Conference on the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, Yellowstone National Park, September 24-27, 1995, edited by A. Peyton Curlee, Anne-Marie Gillesberg and Denise Casey. Northern Rockies Conservation Coop, Yellowstone National Park, WY.
• Moorcroft, PR, Albon, SD, Pemberton, JM, and Clutton-Brock, TH (1996).
  Density-dependent selection in a fluctuating ungulate population
  Proceedings of the Royal Society, series B 263(1366):31-38.
• Gulland, FM, Albon, SD, Pemberton, JM, Moorcroft, PR, and Clutton-Brock, TH (1993). Parasite-associated polymorphism in a cyclic ungulate population Proceedings of the Royal Society series B 254(1339):7-13.