Integrated assessment of land-use and hydrology for sustainable development of the Amazon under changing climate (SSP)

Eunjee Lee

This project explores the impacts of land-use on the atmosphere-vegetation-hydrology system of the Amazon under anticipated climate change. Using a land model coupled with a regional climate model, the shifts between different states for the water cycle and ecosystems—ranging from a moist forested state to a warmer state with sparser vegetation—will be investigated with under a series of land-use scenarios and climate scenarios.  The study of the complex links amongst the future land-use, water cycle and biogeography of the Amazon will determine what levels of deforestation and precipitation can sustain the agricultural activity in the region and neighboring areas. This integrated assessment will also provide valuable insights to policy makers regarding the sustainable development over Amazonia over the coming century.